VT-AL · MODEL v1.14 · 5 INPUTS MEASURED

Becca Balint

VT-AL scores 66.7 on the expanded model: deep-blue structure, incumbent alignment, and reported cash-on-hand evidence. V0.8 replaces the inferred primary component with direct 2024 contest evidence, moving the score -9.1 to 57.6. V0.10 refreshes incumbent finance from the FEC candidate summary through 2026-07-22, moving the score -0.2 to 57.4.

Priority score57.4#2,028 of 5,726Tie of 15

THE MEMBER

Record

Becca Balint (born 1968) has served in the U.S. House since 2023-01-03. The retained record shows 3.6 cumulative years of House service, 3.6 in the current uninterrupted stretch, 0 district changes, and 0 material service breaks.

First House service: Jan 3, 2023
District changes: 0
Alignment gap: 25.7
Bioguide record: B001318

THE DISTRICT

VT-AL

VT-AL had a retained 2024 presidential Democratic margin of D+31.8. Incumbent cash on hand is $598.6K as of 2026-08-04. The incumbent reported $598,648 cash on hand through 2026-06-30. The directly linked 2024 Democratic primary gives the incumbent 100.0% of retained contest votes; this changes primary feasibility without making a winner or nomination claim.

2024 presidential margin: D+31.8
Cash on hand: $626,332
Receipts / disbursements: $956,339 / $475,768
Finance through: Jul 22, 2026
Route: Deep blue
Baseline score: 70.0

SCORE ANATOMY

What makes the score

Blue baseline

100.0

District Democratic baseline contributes 100.0 points; the retained 2024 presidential margin is D+31.8.

Primary feasibility

0.0

The retained official 2024 Democratic primary reports 47,638 incumbent votes out of 47,638 contest votes (100.0%). Primary feasibility is the inverse share, 0.0. The candidate identity and CD119 district key are bound; no winner is inferred.

AIPAC support

0.0

Retained FEC AIPAC evidence contributes 0.0 points; tracker labels are context only and are not double counted.

Incumbent alignment gap

25.7

The retained voting trackers produce a 25.7-point alignment gap.

Cash vulnerability

45.1

The FEC candidate summary snapshot (2026-07-22) reports $626,332 cash on hand, replacing the $598,648 release aggregate. The inverse log scale is 100 at $50,000 or less and 0 at $5 million or more.

HOUSE HISTORY

Recorded service

2023–2025VT-00Completed term

2025–nowVT-00Current at source cutoff

Formula 0.65 × structural baseline + 0.20 × incumbent alignment gap + 0.15 × cash vulnerability; v0.8 replaces inferred primary feasibility with 100 minus the directly linked 2024 incumbent vote share; v0.10 refreshes cash vulnerability from the FEC candidate summary snapshot

Source cutoff Aug 4, 2026 · How the score is built · Source ledger · Factual seat record