LEFT FIELD
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OH-13 · MODEL v1.14 · 5 INPUTS MEASURED

Emilia Strong Sykes

OH-13 scores 53.9 on the expanded model: AIPAC-supported blue structure, incumbent alignment, and reported cash-on-hand evidence. V0.10 refreshes incumbent finance from the FEC candidate summary through 2026-06-30, leaving the score unchanged.

Priority score53.9#2,135 of 5,726Tie of 2

THE MEMBER

Record

Emilia Strong Sykes (born 1986) has served in the U.S. House since 2023-01-03. The retained record shows 3.6 cumulative years of House service, 3.6 in the current uninterrupted stretch, 0 district changes, and 0 material service breaks.

First House service
Jan 3, 2023
District changes
0
Alignment gap
64.3
Bioguide record
S001223

THE DISTRICT

OH-13

OH-13 had a retained 2024 presidential Democratic margin of D+0.0. Incumbent cash on hand is $1.9M as of 2026-08-04. The incumbent reported $1,897,462 cash on hand through 2026-06-30.

2024 presidential margin
D+0.0
Cash on hand
$1,897,462
Receipts / disbursements
$3,137,440 / $1,362,656
Finance through
Jun 30, 2026
Route
AIPAC-supported blue
Baseline score
58.3

SCORE ANATOMY

What makes the score

Blue baseline

0.0

District Democratic baseline contributes 0.0 points; the retained 2024 presidential margin is D+0.0.

Primary feasibility

36.1

Current partial feasibility evidence contributes 36.1 points and remains incomplete.

AIPAC support

88.1

Retained FEC AIPAC evidence contributes 88.1 points; tracker labels are context only and are not double counted.

Incumbent alignment gap

64.3

The retained voting trackers produce a 64.3-point alignment gap.

Cash vulnerability

21.0

The FEC candidate summary snapshot (2026-06-30) reports $1,897,462 cash on hand, replacing the $1,897,462 release aggregate. The inverse log scale is 100 at $50,000 or less and 0 at $5 million or more.

HOUSE HISTORY

Recorded service

2023–2025OH-13Completed term
2025–nowOH-13Current at source cutoff

Formula 0.65 × structural baseline + 0.20 × incumbent alignment gap + 0.15 × cash vulnerability; v0.10 refreshes cash vulnerability from the FEC candidate summary snapshot

Source cutoff Aug 4, 2026 · How the score is built · Source ledger · Factual seat record