LEFT FIELD
← Priority Index

OH-11 · MODEL v1.14 · 5 INPUTS MEASURED

Shontel M. Brown

OH-11 scores 72.8 on the expanded model: AIPAC-supported blue structure, incumbent alignment, and reported cash-on-hand evidence. V0.10 refreshes incumbent finance from the FEC candidate summary through 2026-06-30, leaving the score unchanged.

Priority score72.8#1,481 of 5,726Tie of 3

THE MEMBER

Record

Shontel M. Brown (born 1975) has served in the U.S. House since 2021-11-04. The retained record shows 4.8 cumulative years of House service, 4.8 in the current uninterrupted stretch, 0 district changes, and 0 material service breaks.

First House service
Nov 4, 2021
District changes
0
Alignment gap
52.4
Bioguide record
B001313

THE DISTRICT

OH-11

OH-11 had a retained 2024 presidential Democratic margin of D+55.1. Incumbent cash on hand is $1.2M as of 2026-08-04. The incumbent reported $1,156,556 cash on hand through 2026-06-30.

2024 presidential margin
D+55.1
Cash on hand
$1,156,556
Receipts / disbursements
$1,183,643 / $882,901
Finance through
Jun 30, 2026
Route
AIPAC-supported blue
Baseline score
88.5

SCORE ANATOMY

What makes the score

Blue baseline

100.0

District Democratic baseline contributes 100.0 points; the retained 2024 presidential margin is D+55.1.

Primary feasibility

39.1

Current partial feasibility evidence contributes 39.1 points and remains incomplete.

AIPAC support

96.1

Retained FEC AIPAC evidence contributes 96.1 points; tracker labels are context only and are not double counted.

Incumbent alignment gap

52.4

The retained voting trackers produce a 52.4-point alignment gap.

Cash vulnerability

31.8

The FEC candidate summary snapshot (2026-06-30) reports $1,156,556 cash on hand, replacing the $1,156,556 release aggregate. The inverse log scale is 100 at $50,000 or less and 0 at $5 million or more.

HOUSE HISTORY

Recorded service

2021–2023OH-11Completed term
2023–2025OH-11Completed term
2025–nowOH-11Current at source cutoff

Formula 0.65 × structural baseline + 0.20 × incumbent alignment gap + 0.15 × cash vulnerability; v0.10 refreshes cash vulnerability from the FEC candidate summary snapshot

Source cutoff Aug 4, 2026 · How the score is built · Source ledger · Factual seat record