LEFT FIELD
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NY-05 · MODEL v1.14 · 5 INPUTS MEASURED

Gregory W. Meeks

NY-05 scores 69.4 on the expanded model: AIPAC-supported blue structure, incumbent alignment, and reported cash-on-hand evidence. V0.10 refreshes incumbent finance from the FEC candidate summary through 2026-06-30, leaving the score unchanged.

Priority score69.4#1,590 of 5,726Tie of 3

THE MEMBER

Record

Gregory W. Meeks (born 1953) has served in the U.S. House since 1997-01-07. The retained record shows 29.5 cumulative years of House service, 29.6 in the current uninterrupted stretch, 1 district change, and 0 material service breaks.

First House service
Jan 7, 1997
District changes
1
Alignment gap
61.3
Bioguide record
M001137

THE DISTRICT

NY-05

NY-05 had a retained 2024 presidential Democratic margin of D+42.2. Incumbent cash on hand is $2.0M as of 2026-08-04. The incumbent reported $2,010,350 cash on hand through 2026-06-30.

2024 presidential margin
D+42.2
Cash on hand
$2,010,350
Receipts / disbursements
$1,744,888 / $1,963,090
Finance through
Jun 30, 2026
Route
AIPAC-supported blue
Baseline score
83.3

SCORE ANATOMY

What makes the score

Blue baseline

100.0

District Democratic baseline contributes 100.0 points; the retained 2024 presidential margin is D+42.2.

Primary feasibility

8.4

Current partial feasibility evidence contributes 8.4 points and remains incomplete.

AIPAC support

95.0

Retained FEC AIPAC evidence contributes 95.0 points; tracker labels are context only and are not double counted.

Incumbent alignment gap

61.3

The retained voting trackers produce a 61.3-point alignment gap.

Cash vulnerability

19.8

The FEC candidate summary snapshot (2026-06-30) reports $2,010,350 cash on hand, replacing the $2,010,350 release aggregate. The inverse log scale is 100 at $50,000 or less and 0 at $5 million or more.

HOUSE HISTORY

Recorded service

1997–1999NY-06Completed term
1999–2001NY-06Completed term
2001–2003NY-06Completed term
2003–2005NY-06Completed term
2005–2007NY-06Completed term
2007–2009NY-06Completed term
2009–2011NY-06Completed term
2011–2013NY-06Completed term
2013–2015NY-05Completed term
2015–2017NY-05Completed term
2017–2019NY-05Completed term
2019–2021NY-05Completed term
2021–2023NY-05Completed term
2023–2025NY-05Completed term
2025–nowNY-05Current at source cutoff

Formula 0.65 × structural baseline + 0.20 × incumbent alignment gap + 0.15 × cash vulnerability; v0.10 refreshes cash vulnerability from the FEC candidate summary snapshot

Source cutoff Aug 4, 2026 · How the score is built · Source ledger · Factual seat record