MD-04 · MODEL v1.14 · 4 INPUTS MEASURED
MD-04 scores 79.0 on the expanded model: deep-blue structure, incumbent alignment, and no available cash-on-hand evidence.
THE MEMBER
Glenn Ivey (born 1961) has served in the U.S. House since 2023-01-03. The retained record shows 3.6 cumulative years of House service, 3.6 in the current uninterrupted stretch, 0 district changes, and 0 material service breaks.
I000058THE DISTRICT
MD-04 had a retained 2024 presidential Democratic margin of D+73.6. Incumbent cash on hand is not available (not_reported). Incumbent cash on hand is not reported in the release.
SCORE ANATOMY
District Democratic baseline contributes 100.0 points; the retained 2024 presidential margin is D+73.6.
Current partial feasibility evidence contributes 56.5 points and remains incomplete.
Retained FEC AIPAC evidence contributes 45.0 points; tracker labels are context only and are not double counted.
The retained voting trackers produce a 53.2-point alignment gap.
Not in this score
The published release reports no incumbent cash-on-hand value, so finance is omitted and the available structural/alignment weights are renormalized.
HOUSE HISTORY
Formula available 0.65 structural + 0.20 alignment weights renormalized (finance unavailable)
Source cutoff Aug 4, 2026 · How the score is built · Source ledger · Factual seat record