MA-08 · MODEL v1.14 · 5 INPUTS MEASURED
MA-08 scores 55.9 on the expanded model: deep-blue structure, incumbent alignment, and reported cash-on-hand evidence. V0.10 refreshes incumbent finance from the FEC candidate summary through 2026-08-12, moving the score +2.2 to 58.1.
THE MEMBER
Stephen F. Lynch (born 1955) has served in the U.S. House since 2001-10-23. The retained record shows 24.7 cumulative years of House service, 24.8 in the current uninterrupted stretch, 1 district change, and 0 material service breaks.
L000562THE DISTRICT
MA-08 had a retained 2024 presidential Democratic margin of D+26.4. Incumbent cash on hand is $1.2M as of 2026-08-04. The incumbent reported $1,241,118 cash on hand through 2026-06-30.
SCORE ANATOMY
District Democratic baseline contributes 85.7 points; the retained 2024 presidential margin is D+26.4.
Current partial feasibility evidence contributes 13.1 points and remains incomplete.
Retained FEC AIPAC evidence contributes 0.0 points; tracker labels are context only and are not double counted.
The retained voting trackers produce a 49.2-point alignment gap.
The FEC candidate summary snapshot (2026-08-12) reports $642,256 cash on hand, replacing the $1,241,118 release aggregate. The inverse log scale is 100 at $50,000 or less and 0 at $5 million or more.
HOUSE HISTORY
Formula 0.65 × structural baseline + 0.20 × incumbent alignment gap + 0.15 × cash vulnerability; v0.10 refreshes cash vulnerability from the FEC candidate summary snapshot
Source cutoff Aug 4, 2026 · How the score is built · Source ledger · Factual seat record