KS-03 · MODEL v1.14 · 5 INPUTS MEASURED

Sharice Davids

KS-03 scores 45.1 on the expanded model: AIPAC-supported blue structure, incumbent alignment, and reported cash-on-hand evidence. V0.8 replaces the inferred primary component with direct 2024 contest evidence, moving the score -3.1 to 42.0. V0.10 refreshes incumbent finance from the FEC candidate summary through 2026-07-15, moving the score -0.1 to 41.9.

Priority score41.9#2,432 of 5,726Tie of 2

THE MEMBER

Record

Sharice Davids (born 1980) has served in the U.S. House since 2019-01-03. The retained record shows 7.6 cumulative years of House service, 7.6 in the current uninterrupted stretch, 0 district changes, and 0 material service breaks.

First House service: Jan 3, 2019
District changes: 0
Alignment gap: 62.8
Bioguide record: D000629

THE DISTRICT

KS-03

KS-03 had a retained 2024 presidential Democratic margin of D+4.1. Incumbent cash on hand is $1.7M as of 2026-08-04. The incumbent reported $1,695,944 cash on hand through 2026-06-30. The directly linked 2024 Democratic primary gives the incumbent 100.0% of retained contest votes; this changes primary feasibility without making a winner or nomination claim.

2024 presidential margin: D+4.1
Cash on hand: $1,724,212
Receipts / disbursements: $3,690,440 / $2,369,484
Finance through: Jul 15, 2026
Route: AIPAC-supported blue
Baseline score: 39.8

SCORE ANATOMY

What makes the score

Blue baseline

0.0

District Democratic baseline contributes 0.0 points; the retained 2024 presidential margin is D+4.1.

Primary feasibility

0.0

The retained official 2024 Democratic primary reports 37,837 incumbent votes out of 37,837 contest votes (100.0%). Primary feasibility is the inverse share, 0.0. The candidate identity and CD119 district key are bound; no winner is inferred.

AIPAC support

66.3

Retained FEC AIPAC evidence contributes 66.3 points; tracker labels are context only and are not double counted.

Incumbent alignment gap

62.8

The retained voting trackers produce a 62.8-point alignment gap.

Cash vulnerability

23.1

The FEC candidate summary snapshot (2026-07-15) reports $1,724,212 cash on hand, replacing the $1,695,944 release aggregate. The inverse log scale is 100 at $50,000 or less and 0 at $5 million or more.

HOUSE HISTORY

Recorded service

2019–2021KS-03Completed term

2021–2023KS-03Completed term

2023–2025KS-03Completed term

2025–nowKS-03Current at source cutoff

Formula 0.65 × structural baseline + 0.20 × incumbent alignment gap + 0.15 × cash vulnerability; v0.8 replaces inferred primary feasibility with 100 minus the directly linked 2024 incumbent vote share; v0.10 refreshes cash vulnerability from the FEC candidate summary snapshot

Source cutoff Aug 4, 2026 · How the score is built · Source ledger · Factual seat record