LEFT FIELD
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GA-11 · MODEL v1.14 · 3 INPUTS MEASURED

Barry Loudermilk

GA-11 enters through the Republican-held flip route at 36.9. V0.9 replaces the flat 0.70 cap with the same partial-coverage rule the Democratic route uses: 85% of the route's evidence is available, so the weighted mean of 39.3 is scaled by 0.940, moving the score +20.7. V0.10 refreshes incumbent finance from the FEC candidate summary through 2026-06-30, moving the score +1.5 to 38.4.

Priority score38.4#2,528 of 5,726Tie of 5

THE MEMBER

Record

Barry Loudermilk is the current Republican House member for GA-11. The retained congressional history records 11.6 cumulative years of House service through the source cutoff.

First House service
Jan 6, 2015
District changes
0
Alignment gap
Not in this score
Bioguide record
L000583

THE DISTRICT

GA-11

GA-11 recorded a R+23.3 presidential margin in 2024. The incumbent reported $172,984 cash on hand through 2024-12-31. This route surfaces potentially competitive Republican-held districts without inventing Democratic-primary, AIPAC, or alignment evidence.

2024 presidential margin
R+23.3
Cash on hand
$126,654
Receipts / disbursements
$262,803 / $309,133
Finance through
Jun 30, 2026
Route
Republican-held flip screen
Baseline score
23.2

SCORE ANATOMY

What makes the score

General-election competitiveness

6.6

The retained 2024 presidential result was R+23.3. A tied district begins at 100 and each Republican margin point subtracts four points.

Democratic primary

Not in this score

Not applicable to this Republican-held general-election route; no Democratic-primary value is imputed.

AIPAC support

Not in this score

Not used in this route because the retained candidate-level AIPAC model covers the Democratic incumbent field.

Incumbent alignment

Not in this score

Not used in this route because the retained alignment trackers cover Democratic incumbents.

Cash vulnerability

79.8

The FEC candidate summary snapshot (2026-06-30) reports $126,654 cash on hand, replacing the $172,984 release aggregate. The inverse log scale is 100 at $50,000 or less and 0 at $5 million or more.

State Democratic primary contestation

79.3

The retained 2026 state-legislative Democratic primaries in this state drew more than one candidate in enough contests to score 79.3 on a scale where a 40% contested share is 100. This is state-level organizing context, not a district measure.

HOUSE HISTORY

Recorded service

2015–2017GA-11Completed term
2017–2019GA-11Completed term
2019–2021GA-11Completed term
2021–2023GA-11Completed term
2023–2025GA-11Completed term
2025–nowGA-11Current at source cutoff

Formula v0.9 Republican-held route: renormalized 0.45 × competitiveness + 0.20 × cash vulnerability + 0.15 × local context + 0.20 × state Democratic primary contestation (85% of component weight available) × 0.940 coverage multiplier; the former flat 0.70 cap is removed; v0.10 refreshes cash vulnerability from the FEC candidate summary snapshot

Source cutoff Aug 4, 2026 · How the score is built · Source ledger · Factual seat record