GA-01 · OPEN SEAT · MODEL v1.14 · 2 INPUTS MEASURED
GA-01 is an open seat: the incumbent has filed for the 2026 Senate race. V0.11 scores it on competitiveness and state context without incumbent cash at 42.9 (-14.3 from v0.10).
THE MEMBER
Earl L. "Buddy" Carter is the current Republican House member for GA-01. The retained congressional history records 11.6 cumulative years of House service through the source cutoff.
C001103THE DISTRICT
GA-01 recorded a R+15.8 presidential margin in 2024. The incumbent reported $3,018,930 cash on hand through 2024-12-31. This route surfaces potentially competitive Republican-held districts without inventing Democratic-primary, AIPAC, or alignment evidence.
SCORE ANATOMY
The retained 2024 presidential result was R+15.8. A tied district begins at 100 and each Republican margin point subtracts four points.
Not in this score
Not applicable to this Republican-held general-election route; no Democratic-primary value is imputed.
Not in this score
Not used in this route because the retained candidate-level AIPAC model covers the Democratic incumbent field.
Not in this score
Not used in this route because the retained alignment trackers cover Democratic incumbents.
Not in this score
Cash vulnerability is omitted: the FEC candidate master records the incumbent as a 2026 Senate candidate (S6GA00374), so this is an open House seat and the departing incumbent's cash vulnerability is not a vulnerability signal. The remaining weights are renormalized.
The retained 2026 state-legislative Democratic primaries in this state drew more than one candidate in enough contests to score 79.3 on a scale where a 40% contested share is 100. This is state-level organizing context, not a district measure.
HOUSE HISTORY
Formula v0.9 Republican-held route: renormalized 0.45 × competitiveness + 0.20 × cash vulnerability + 0.15 × local context + 0.20 × state Democratic primary contestation (85% of component weight available) × 0.940 coverage multiplier; the former flat 0.70 cap is removed; v0.10 refreshes cash vulnerability from the FEC candidate summary snapshot; v0.11 open seat: cash_vulnerability omitted and weights renormalized
Source cutoff Aug 4, 2026 · How the score is built · Source ledger · Factual seat record