FL-22 · MODEL v1.14 · 5 INPUTS MEASURED
FL-22 scores 59.1 on the expanded model: AIPAC-supported blue structure, incumbent alignment, and reported cash-on-hand evidence. V0.10 refreshes incumbent finance from the FEC candidate summary through 2026-07-29, moving the score -4.7 to 54.4.
THE MEMBER
Lois Frankel (born 1948) has served in the U.S. House since 2013-01-03. The retained record shows 13.6 cumulative years of House service, 13.6 in the current uninterrupted stretch, 2 district changes, and 0 material service breaks.
F000462THE DISTRICT
FL-22 had a retained 2024 presidential Democratic margin of D+5.6. Incumbent cash on hand is $287.3K as of 2026-08-04. The incumbent reported $287,321 cash on hand through 2024-12-31.
SCORE ANATOMY
District Democratic baseline contributes 2.3 points; the retained 2024 presidential margin is D+5.6.
Current partial feasibility evidence contributes 40.7 points and remains incomplete.
Retained FEC AIPAC evidence contributes 80.1 points; tracker labels are context only and are not double counted.
The retained voting trackers produce a 71.3-point alignment gap.
The FEC candidate summary snapshot (2026-07-29) reports $1,212,162 cash on hand, replacing the $287,321 release aggregate. The inverse log scale is 100 at $50,000 or less and 0 at $5 million or more.
HOUSE HISTORY
Formula 0.65 × structural baseline + 0.20 × incumbent alignment gap + 0.15 × cash vulnerability; v0.10 refreshes cash vulnerability from the FEC candidate summary snapshot
Source cutoff Aug 4, 2026 · How the score is built · Source ledger · Factual seat record