CT-03 · MODEL v1.14 · 5 INPUTS MEASURED

Rosa L. DeLauro

CT-03 scores 39.1 on the expanded model: AIPAC-supported blue structure, incumbent alignment, and reported cash-on-hand evidence. V0.10 refreshes incumbent finance from the FEC candidate summary through 2026-06-30, leaving the score unchanged.

Priority score39.1#2,506 of 5,726

THE MEMBER

Record

Rosa L. DeLauro (born 1943) has served in the U.S. House since 1991-01-03. The retained record shows 35.5 cumulative years of House service, 35.6 in the current uninterrupted stretch, 0 district changes, and 0 material service breaks.

First House service: Jan 3, 1991
District changes: 0
Alignment gap: 54.1
Bioguide record: D000216

THE DISTRICT

CT-03

CT-03 had a retained 2024 presidential Democratic margin of D+14.1. Incumbent cash on hand is $349.4K as of 2026-08-04. The incumbent reported $349,418 cash on hand through 2026-06-30.

2024 presidential margin: D+14.1
Cash on hand: $349,418
Receipts / disbursements: $1,152,007 / $1,028,036
Finance through: Jun 30, 2026
Route: AIPAC-supported blue
Baseline score: 30.1

SCORE ANATOMY

What makes the score

Blue baseline

36.2

District Democratic baseline contributes 36.2 points; the retained 2024 presidential margin is D+14.1.

Primary feasibility

24.4

Current partial feasibility evidence contributes 24.4 points and remains incomplete.

AIPAC support

29.0

Retained FEC AIPAC evidence contributes 29.0 points; tracker labels are context only and are not double counted.

Incumbent alignment gap

54.1

The retained voting trackers produce a 54.1-point alignment gap.

Cash vulnerability

57.8

The FEC candidate summary snapshot (2026-06-30) reports $349,418 cash on hand, replacing the $349,418 release aggregate. The inverse log scale is 100 at $50,000 or less and 0 at $5 million or more.

HOUSE HISTORY

Recorded service

1991–1993CT-03Completed term

1993–1995CT-03Completed term

1995–1997CT-03Completed term

1997–1999CT-03Completed term

1999–2001CT-03Completed term

2001–2003CT-03Completed term

2003–2005CT-03Completed term

2005–2007CT-03Completed term

2007–2009CT-03Completed term

2009–2011CT-03Completed term

2011–2013CT-03Completed term

2013–2015CT-03Completed term

2015–2017CT-03Completed term

2017–2019CT-03Completed term

2019–2021CT-03Completed term

2021–2023CT-03Completed term

2023–2025CT-03Completed term

2025–nowCT-03Current at source cutoff

Formula 0.65 × structural baseline + 0.20 × incumbent alignment gap + 0.15 × cash vulnerability; v0.10 refreshes cash vulnerability from the FEC candidate summary snapshot

Source cutoff Aug 4, 2026 · How the score is built · Source ledger · Factual seat record